Martin Veselý
The main purpose of this article is to evaluate possible applications of quantum computers in foreign exchange reserves management. The capabilities of quantum computers are demonstrated by means of risk measurement using the quantum Monte Carlo method and portfolio optimization using a linear equations system solver (the Harrow-Hassidim-Lloyd algorithm) and quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (the quantum approximate optimization algorithm). All demonstrations are carried out on the cloud-based IBM QuantumTM platform. Despite the fact that real-world applications are impossible under the current state of development of quantum computers, it is proven that in principle it will be possible to apply such computers in FX reserves management in the future. In addition, the article serves as an introduction to quantum computing for the staff of central banks and financial market supervisory authorities.
JEL codes: C61, C63, G11
Keywords: Foreign exchange reserves, HHL algorithm, portfolio optimization, QAOA algorithm, quantum computing, risk measurement
Issued: March 2022
Download: CNB WP No. 2/2022 (pdf, 1.3 MB)