Monika Junicke, Jakub Matějů, Haroon Mumtaz, Angeliki Theophilopoulou
We investigate the heterogeneity in the effects of monetary policy shocks on the distribution of wages and hours worked, using unique contract-level data from the Czech labor market and identifying monetary policy shocks using a narrative approach based on market surprises in interest rate futures. The results suggest that low-wage groups are hit more profoundly by monetary policy shocks than high-wage groups, and the effect of restrictive shocks is stronger in the manufacturing sector than in any other. Exploring other dimensions of the data offers insights into the heterogeneity of the the impact of monetary policy on different demographic groups. We show that low-educated and also young workers are more affected by restrictive monetary policy shocks due to their higher shares in low-wage groups.
JEL codes: C32, E24, E52, J31
Keywords: Heterogeneity, monetary policy, shock identification, wage inequality
Issued: December 2023
Download: CNB WP No. 4/2023 (pdf, 1 MB)