Global Economic Outlook

Global Economic Outlook aims to pool information about the latest predictions and outlooks of international institutions, selected central banks and Consensus Economics for the euro area, Germany, the USA, the United Kingdom, Japan, China and Russia. Each issue also analyses a selected topic significantly affecting the world economy or having an academic subtext.

GEO
October 2024
Central banks’ monetary policy continues its dovish trend, and the International Monetary Fund warns that indebtedness in the world will correspond to the value of annual global GDP by 2030. Further details are provided in the October issue, with a chart illustrating how the odds are shaping up for this year’s US presidential election. The betting figures indicate a significant increase in Donald Trump’s chances, though the opinion polls remain close. The thematic analysis then focuses on German industry, which is lagging behind and requires major reforms, investment, improved energy efficiency, and reduced red tape. Details (pdf, 1.8 MB)

2024

Unless indicated otherwise, the presented data1) are taken from the official forecasts of Consensus Forecasts (CF), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the European Central Bank (ECB), Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB), the Federal Reserve System (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU).

1) The CNB’s External Economic Relations Division guarantees that these data are up-to-date, but cannot vouch for their correctness and quality.